1 Mathematical Statistics, Department of Informatics and Mathematical Modeling, Technical University of Denmark2 Department of Informatics and Mathematical Modeling, Technical University of Denmark3 Department of Electrical Engineering, Technical University of Denmark4 Department of Applied Mathematics and Computer Science, Technical University of Denmark
The heat consumption in a large geographical area is considered together with climate measurements on a single location in the area. The purpose is to identify a model linking the heat consumption to climate and calendar information. The process of building a model is split into a theoretical based identification of an overall model structure followed by data-based modelling, whereby the details of the model are identified. This approach is sometimes called grey-box modelling, but the specific approach used here does not require states to be specified. Overall, the paper demonstrates the power of the grey-box approach. (c) 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Energy and Buildings, 2006, Vol 38, Issue 1, p. 63-71
District heating; Consumption; Climate; Modelling; Grey-box