Razavi, H7; Waked, I8; Sarrazin, C8; Myers, R P8; Idilman, R8; Calinas, F8; Vogel, W8; Mendes Correa, M C8; Hézode, C8; Lázaro, P8; Akarca, U8; Aleman, S8; Balık, I8; Berg, T8; Bihl, F8; Bilodeau, M8; Blasco, A J8; Brandão Mello, C E8; Bruggmann, P8; Buti, M8; Calleja, J L8; Cheinquer, H8; Christensen, P B8; Clausen, M8; Coelho, H S M8; Cramp, M E8; Dore, G J8; Doss, W8; Duberg, A S8; El-Sayed, M H8; Ergör, G8; Esmat, G8; Falconer, K8; Félix, J8; Ferraz, M L G8; Ferreira, P R8; Frankova, S8; García-Samaniego, J8; Gerstoft, J8; Giria, J A8; Gonçales, F L8; Gower, E8; Gschwantler, M8; Guimarães Pessôa, M8; Hindman, S J8; Hofer, H8; Husa, P8; Kåberg, M8; Kaita, K D E8; Kautz, A8; Kaymakoglu, S8; Krajden, M8; Krarup, H1; Laleman, W8; Lavanchy, D8; Marinho, R T8; Marotta, P8; Mauss, S8; Moreno, C8; Murphy, K8; Negro, F8; Nemecek, V8; Örmeci, N8; Øvrehus, A L H8; Parkes, J8; Pasini, K8; Peltekian, K M8; Ramji, A8; Reis, N8; Roberts, S K8; Rosenberg, W M8; Roudot-Thoraval, F8; Ryder, S D8; Sarmento-Castro, R8; Semela, D8; Sherman, M8; Shiha, G E8; Sievert, W8; Sperl, J8; Stärkel, P8; Stauber, R E8; Thompson, A J8; Urbanek, P8; Van Damme, P8; van Thiel, I8; Van Vlierberghe, H8; Vandijck, D8; Wedemeyer, H8; Weis, N8; Wiegand, J8; Yosry, A8; Zekry, A8; Cornberg, M8; Müllhaupt, B8; Estes, C8
1 Aalborg University Hospital, The Faculty of Medicine, Aalborg University, VBN2 Klinik Diagnostik, The Faculty of Medicine, Aalborg University, VBN3 Klinisk Biokemi, The Faculty of Medicine, Aalborg University, VBN4 The Faculty of Medicine, Aalborg University, VBN5 Klinik Medicin, The Faculty of Medicine, Aalborg University, VBN6 Medicinske Mave- og Tarmsygdomme (Gastroenterologi og Hepatologi), The Faculty of Medicine, Aalborg University, VBN7 Center for Disease Analysis, Louisville, Colorado, USA.8 unknown
The disease burden of hepatitis C virus (HCV) is expected to increase as the infected population ages. A modelling approach was used to estimate the total number of viremic infections, diagnosed, treated and new infections in 2013. In addition, the model was used to estimate the change in the total number of HCV infections, the disease progression and mortality in 2013-2030. Finally, expert panel consensus was used to capture current treatment practices in each country. Using today's treatment paradigm, the total number of HCV infections is projected to decline or remain flat in all countries studied. However, in the same time period, the number of individuals with late-stage liver disease is projected to increase. This study concluded that the current treatment rate and efficacy are not sufficient to manage the disease burden of HCV. Thus, alternative strategies are required to keep the number of HCV individuals with advanced liver disease and liver-related deaths from increasing.
Journal of Viral Hepatitis, 2014, Vol 21, Issue Suppl 1, p. 34-59
Adolescent; Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Antiviral Agents; Child; Child, Preschool; Drug Therapy, Combination; Female; Global Health; Hepatitis C, Chronic; Humans; Incidence; Infant; Infant, Newborn; Male; Middle Aged; Models, Statistical; Prevalence; Young Adult