1 Center for Energy Resources Engineering, Center, Technical University of Denmark2 Department of Informatics and Mathematical Modeling, Technical University of Denmark3 Scientific Computing, Department of Informatics and Mathematical Modeling, Technical University of Denmark4 Mathematical Statistics, Department of Informatics and Mathematical Modeling, Technical University of Denmark5 Department of Civil Engineering, Technical University of Denmark6 Section for Building Physics and Services, Department of Civil Engineering, Technical University of Denmark7 Scientific Computing, Department of Applied Mathematics and Computer Science, Technical University of Denmark8 Department of Applied Mathematics and Computer Science, Technical University of Denmark9 Copenhagen Center for Health Technology, Center, Technical University of Denmark
In this work the heat dynamics of a storage tank were modelled on the basis of data and maximum likelihood methods. The resulting grey-box model was used for Economic Model Predictive Control (MPC) of the energy in the tank. The control objective was to balance the energy from a solar collector and the heat consumption in a residential house. The storage tank provides heat in periods where there is low solar radiation and stores heat when there is surplus solar heat. The forecasts of consumption patterns were based on data obtained from meters in a group of single-family houses in Denmark. The tank can also be heated by electric heating elements if necessary, but the electricity costs of operating these heating elements should be minimized. Consequently, the heating elements should be used in periods with cheap electricity. It is proposed to integrate a price-sensitive control to enable the storage tank to serve a smart energy system in which flexible consumers are expected to help balance fluctuating renewable energy sources like wind and solar. Through simulations, the impact of applying Economic MPC shows annual electricity cost savings up to 25-30%.
Energy Procedia, 2012, Vol 30, p. 270-278
Model predictive control; Solar heating; Smart solar tank; Smart energy systems
Main Research Area:
1st International Conference on Solar Heating and Coolingfor Buildings and Industry (SHC 2012)