Transitionsfase eller stabil verdensorden?Stable World Order or Transition Phase
The article argues that American power after the Cold War has relied on military strength to a greater degree than immediately after World War Two. Several dynamics are cited which could turn unipolarity into a transitory stage in the evolvement of a multipolar, a bipolar, a regional, or even the complete breakdown of world order: The theory of Imperial Overstretch, traditional balance of power dynamics, and the absence of American restraint. Other stabilizing factors are mentioned: The evolvement of Post-Heroic Warfare, American restraint, and the use of novel strategies such as dissuasion, pre-emption and prevention. The author concludes that even if the outcome is not certain, the United States has the means and the will to fight for its privileged position, rendering a peaceful transition phase highly unlikely.
Jyske Historiker, 2006, Vol 2006, Issue 113-114, p. 6-25