1 History Department, Faculty of Humanities, Aarhus University, Aarhus University
Transitionsfase eller stabil verdensorden?Stable World Order or Transition Phase
The article argues that American power after the Cold War has relied on military strength to a greater degree than immediately after World War Two. Several dynamics are cited which could turn unipolarity into a transitory stage in the evolvement of a multipolar, a bipolar, a regional, or even the complete breakdown of world order: The theory of Imperial Overstretch, traditional balance of power dynamics, and the absence of American restraint. Other stabilizing factors are mentioned: The evolvement of Post-Heroic Warfare, American restraint, and the use of novel strategies such as dissuasion, pre-emption and prevention. The author concludes that even if the outcome is not certain, the United States has the means and the will to fight for its privileged position, rendering a peaceful transition phase highly unlikely.
Jyske Historiker, 2006, Vol 2006, Issue 113-114, p. 6-25