Vad Mathiesen, Brian4; Lund, Henrik4; Karlsson, Kenneth Bernard5
1 DTU Climate Centre, Systems Analysis Division, Risø National Laboratory for Sustainable Energy, Technical University of Denmark2 Systems Analysis Division, Risø National Laboratory for Sustainable Energy, Technical University of Denmark3 Risø National Laboratory for Sustainable Energy, Technical University of Denmark4 Aalborg University5 Department of Management Engineering, Technical University of Denmark
Greenhouse gas mitigation strategies are generally considered costly with world leaders often engaging in debate concerning the costs of mitigation and the distribution of these costs between different countries. In this paper, the analyses and results of the design of a 100% renewable energy system by the year 2050 are presented for a complete energy system including transport. Two short-term transition target years in the process towards this goal are analysed for 2015 and 2030. The energy systems are analysed and designed with hour-by-hour energy system analyses. The analyses reveal that implementing energy savings, renewable energy and more efficient conversion technologies can have positive socio-economic effects, create employment and potentially lead to large earnings on exports. If externalities such as health effects are included, even more benefits can be expected. 100% Renewable energy systems will be technically possible in the future, and may even be economically beneficial compared to the business-as-usual energy system. Hence, the current debate between leaders should reflect a combination of these two main challenges.
Applied Energy, 2011, Vol 88, Issue 2, p. 488-501
DTU Climate Centre; Systems analysis; Systemanalyse; DTU Klimacenter